The Global Forest Products Model,

PART 1 INTRODUCTION

Ch 1 Background and Objectives
1.1 Issues addressed by the GFPM
1.2 Previous and related models
1.3 A brief history of the GFPM
1.4 Objectives and outline

Ch 2 Overview of the Global Forest Products
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Production
2.3 International trade
2.4 Forest product price trends
2.5 Economic and demographic prospects
2.6 Summary and conclusion


PART 2 GFPM MODEL CONSTRUCTION

Ch 3 GFPM Structure and Formulation
3.1 Overview of the GFPM
3.2 Spatial global equilibrium
3.3 Market dynamics
3.4 Linear approximation of demand and supply
3.5 Implementation of trade inertia constraints
3.6 Welfare analysis

Ch 4 Model Calibration and Validation
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Countries and Products
4.3 Base-year Data
4.4 Parameter Estimation
4.5 Model Validation


PART 3 GFPM APPLICATIONS

Ch 5 The Base Scenario
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Model data, parameters, and assumptions
5.3 Base scenario projection from 1997 to 2010
5.4 Summary and discussion

Ch 6 Effects of the Asian Economic Crisis
6.1 Introduction
6.2 GFPM application
6.3 Summary and conclusion

Ch 7 Effects of Tariff Liberalization
7.1 Introduction
7.2 The Uruguay round of GATT and the ATL proposal
7.3 Previous studies
7.4 GFPM simulations
7.5 Summary and conclusion

Ch. 8 Impact of United States Paper recycling Policies
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Wastepaper recycling in the United States
8.3 Previous studies
8.4 GFPM analysis
8.5 International effects
8.6 Summary and conclusion

Ch 9 Effects of Regional trade agreements on New Zealand
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Trade agreements
9.3 GFPM analysis
9.4 GFPM results
9.5 Summary and conclusion

Ch 10 Impacts of United States Timber Harvest Restrictions
10.1 Introduction
10.2 Previous studies
10.3 Objectives
10.4 Forest policies affecting timber harvest in the United States
10.5 Modified GFPM model
10.6 Effects of further U.S. harvest restrictions on the Pacific Rim forest sector
10.7 Sensitivity to trade regime
10.8 Summary and conclusion


PART 4 GFPM SOFTWARE

Ch 11 Using the GFPM Software
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Installation and configuration
11.3 GFPM base year input
11.4 Exogenous change data
11.5 Running GFPM
11.6 Examples of GFPM output
11.7 Welfare analysis with the GFPM
11.8 Trouble shooting GFPM errors

Ch 12 GFPM Software design and implementation
12.1 Introduction
12.2 Overview of GFPM software structure
12.3 Control programs and program execution
12.4 Data Preparation
12.5 Data processing and problem solving
12.6 Output retrieval

CH 13 Summary and Conclusion
13.1 Summary of Results
13.2 Evaluation and prospects
13.3 Conclusion

References